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GLP-1 Treatment Gap Index 2026: where Medicaid access falls short of need
We compared every state's adult obesity and diabetes rates with how many GLP-1 prescriptions its Medicaid program actually filled in 2025. The states with the most need are often the ones filling the fewest.
Key findings
Arkansas has the widest GLP-1 treatment gap in the U.S. It ranks 6th for need (37.8% adult obesity, 14.8% diabetes) but last for access: 59 GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 adult Medicaid enrollees in 2025, against a national rate of 274.
Access varies almost ninefold between states. Pennsylvania Medicaid filled 520 GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 adult enrollees; Arkansas filled 59. Across states, need and access are essentially unrelated (correlation r = 0.02).
Eight of the ten widest gaps are in the South: Arkansas, West Virginia, Georgia, Alabama, South Carolina, Mississippi, Texas and Tennessee. Six of the ten states that have not expanded Medicaid rank in the top eight.
Weight-management brands mark the dividing line. In the 12 states where Wegovy®, Zepbound® or Saxenda® made up at least 40% of GLP-1 fills, Medicaid filled 407 GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 adult enrollees. In the 34 states where they made up under 10%, it filled 191.
Medicaid filled 11.2 million GLP-1 prescriptions in 2025, up 34% from 8.3 million in 2024. Gross spending before manufacturer rebates reached about 12.0 billion USD. GLP-1s were about 1.6% of all Medicaid prescriptions.
The gap is likely to widen in 2026. California, Pennsylvania and New Hampshire, three of the 11 highest-access states, ended Medicaid coverage of GLP-1s for obesity after October 2025, as did South Carolina (KFF).
The gap, state by state
Darker states have a wider gap between need and Medicaid access. Index runs from 0 (smallest gap, Massachusetts) to 100 (widest gap, Arkansas). Hover a state for its numbers, or see the full ranking below.
Need doesn't predict access
Each dot is a state. States further right have higher adult obesity rates; states higher up fill more GLP-1 prescriptions per Medicaid adult. If access followed need, the dots would climb from left to right. They don't.
Highlighted: the 10 states with the widest treatment gap. Obesity: CDC BRFSS adult prevalence, 2024-2025 average. Prescriptions: CMS State Drug Utilization Data, CY2025, per 1,000 adults enrolled in Medicaid (2025 monthly average).
Full ranking: all 50 states and DC
Rank 1 is the widest gap. States are listed widest gap first.
| Rank | State | Gap index (0-100) |
Adult obesity |
Adult diabetes |
Rx / 1,000 enrollees |
Rx / 1,000 Medicaid Rx |
GLP-1 Rx 2025 |
Change vs 2024 |
Wt-mgmt share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arkansas | 37.8% | 14.8% | 59 | 4.4 | 24,039 | +27.3% | 0.8% | |
| 2 | West Virginia | 39.4% | 17.5% | 315 | 12.9 | 94,999 | +2.4% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | GeorgiaNon-exp. | 35.6% | 12.9% | 106 | 4.3 | 59,374 | +10.8% | 2.6% | |
| 4 | AlabamaNon-exp. | 39.3% | 15.3% | 263 | 11.2 | 71,831 | +7.6% | 2.0% | |
| 5 | South CarolinaNon-exp. | 35.5% | 14.2% | 163 | 8.8 | 65,093 | +11.4% | 17.4% | |
| 6 | MississippiNon-exp. | 40.4% | 15.2% | 306 | 12.6 | 61,646 | +49.8% | 52.3% | |
| 7 | TexasNon-exp. | 35.9% | 13.3% | 175 | 6.5 | 172,353 | +16.4% | 2.9% | |
| 8 | TennesseeNon-exp. | 37.9% | 14.7% | 232 | 11.1 | 136,023 | +46.1% | 29.9% | |
| 9 | Indiana | 38.0% | 13.8% | 213 | 10.5 | 190,162 | -4.4% | 4.6% | |
| 10 | North Dakota | 38.0% | 10.3% | 106 | 6.4 | 5,852 | +5.7% | 0.0% | |
| 11 | Kentucky | 38.0% | 16.1% | 370 | 10.1 | 274,538 | +12.2% | 1.2% | |
| 12 | Oklahoma | 37.4% | 12.9% | 174 | 10.3 | 82,365 | +20.0% | 0.8% | |
| 13 | Arizona | 32.8% | 12.3% | 93 | 6.6 | 93,551 | +5.4% | 0.9% | |
| 14 | Louisiana | 37.4% | 15.4% | 299 | 12.9 | 230,359 | -14.9% | 0.9% | |
| 15 | Oregon | 33.1% | 11.8% | 87 | 6.5 | 72,793 | +26.9% | 6.3% | |
| 16 | Nevada | 34.2% | 13.6% | 166 | 10.2 | 70,939 | +29.0% | 1.7% | |
| 17 | FloridaNon-exp. | 29.8% | 12.6% | 103 | 6.3 | 133,482 | +1.6% | 0.9% | |
| 18 | Nebraska | 36.8% | 11.4% | 225 | 9.4 | 37,335 | +7.7% | 1.3% | |
| 19 | New Mexico | 34.9% | 12.3% | 168 | 12.2 | 64,832 | +13.2% | 0.2% | |
| 20 | Ohio | 36.4% | 12.9% | 268 | 11.4 | 425,258 | +15.5% | 2.5% | |
| 21 | Illinois | 33.9% | 12.6% | 167 | 12.8 | 288,522 | +8.9% | 1.1% | |
| 22 | WyomingNon-exp. | 32.6% | 10.1% | 117 | 6.2 | 2,315 | -3.7% | 6.0% | |
| 23 | Virginia | 33.3% | 13.4% | 250 | 10.8 | 227,568 | +2.1% | 19.7% | |
| 24 | Maryland | 32.9% | 12.3% | 197 | 10.1 | 148,648 | +10.3% | 2.1% | |
| 25 | Iowa | 36.8% | 11.4% | 262 | 11.5 | 88,518 | +26.5% | 6.9% | |
| 26 | South Dakota | 35.7% | 11.5% | 256 | 11.7 | 15,602 | +32.5% | 0.0% | |
| 27 | Washington | 31.2% | 9.9% | 114 | 9.0 | 111,125 | +7.9% | 3.1% | |
| 28 | Maine | 33.1% | 11.3% | 206 | 14.7 | 41,655 | +22.2% | 4.2% | |
| 29 | KansasNon-exp. | 37.4% | 12.6% | 396 | 15.6 | 50,903 | +59.2% | 65.1% | |
| 30 | New York | 29.0% | 12.2% | 199 | 11.4 | 816,616 | +15.8% | 0.0% | |
| 31 | New Jersey | 27.3% | 10.9% | 172 | 8.3 | 165,667 | +20.9% | 6.2% | |
| 32 | Rhode Island | 31.2% | 11.8% | 249 | 14.0 | 46,691 | +27.3% | 27.2% | |
| 33 | Montana | 30.6% | 9.0% | 186 | 8.4 | 22,719 | +1.7% | 0.8% | |
| 34 | Utah | 30.4% | 8.6% | 168 | 8.3 | 28,007 | +25.4% | 0.5% | |
| 35 | Hawaii | 26.7% | 11.4% | 126 | 16.8 | 30,478 | -34.3% | 0.8% | |
| 36 | North Carolina | 34.0% | 12.9% | 336 | 22.1 | 484,712 | +114.7% | 47.1% | |
| 37 | Vermont | 29.0% | 9.4% | 178 | 11.9 | 17,163 | +21.2% | 7.0% | |
| 38 | Delaware | 36.5% | 13.3% | 408 | 24.2 | 55,674 | +38.6% | 56.8% | |
| 39 | Alaska | 33.5% | 8.8% | 171 | 18.9 | 23,249 | -7.4% | 5.6% | |
| 40 | Idaho | 32.6% | 9.1% | 284 | 12.1 | 45,954 | -2.4% | 5.0% | |
| 41 | Michigan | 35.6% | 13.0% | 423 | 21.7 | 608,028 | +52.9% | 59.1% | |
| 42 | Missouri | 35.6% | 11.7% | 420 | 18.0 | 285,105 | +120.6% | 44.1% | |
| 43 | Connecticut | 31.2% | 11.3% | 317 | 19.3 | 174,553 | -18.4% | 3.1% | |
| 44 | Colorado | 25.3% | 8.6% | 181 | 12.6 | 123,012 | +60.4% | 11.6% | |
| 45 | New Hampshire | 31.3% | 10.1% | 366 | 17.1 | 34,652 | +56.8% | 56.8% | |
| 46 | WisconsinNon-exp. | 37.0% | 11.6% | 501 | 24.7 | 302,645 | +50.0% | 58.5% | |
| 47 | Minnesota | 32.7% | 10.2% | 410 | 19.3 | 230,594 | +39.3% | 54.0% | |
| 48 | District of Columbia | 24.8% | 8.8% | 170 | 15.6 | 27,754 | -7.7% | 1.9% | |
| 49 | Pennsylvania | 33.9% | 13.1% | 520 | 25.2 | 844,001 | +47.0% | 54.0% | |
| 50 | California | 29.1% | 12.6% | 369 | 34.6 | 3,090,441 | +61.6% | 55.4% | |
| 51 | Massachusetts | 27.0% | 9.8% | 432 | 27.9 | 399,030 | +56.8% | 54.5% |
"Non-exp." marks states that had not expanded Medicaid as of 2025. Weight-management brand share = Wegovy®, Zepbound® and Saxenda® as a share of all GLP-1 prescriptions filled.
Methodology
Need score
The average of two standardized (z-score) measures from the CDC Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System: adult obesity prevalence (BMI 30 or higher) and adult diagnosed diabetes prevalence. We averaged 2024 and 2025. Where a state has only one year published, we used that year (2024 only: California, Mississippi, Nevada; 2025 only: Tennessee).
Access score
The average of two standardized measures from CMS State Drug Utilization Data for calendar year 2025, fee-for-service and managed care combined:
- GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 adults enrolled in Medicaid (2025 monthly average, final reports)
- GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 total Medicaid prescriptions, which corrects for differences in how completely states report pharmacy data
Gap index
Need score minus access score, rescaled so the smallest gap is 0 and the widest is 100.
Drugs included
Every GLP-1 receptor agonist in the data: Ozempic®, Rybelsus®, Wegovy® (injection and oral), Mounjaro®, Zepbound®, Trulicity®, Victoza®, Saxenda®, generic liraglutide, Byetta®, Bydureon® BCise, Soliqua and Xultophy. Mounjaro® and Zepbound® act on both GIP and GLP-1 receptors.
Limitations
- CMS suppresses counts under 11 per drug package per quarter, so small states are slightly undercounted.
- Drugs for people with both Medicare and Medicaid are paid by Medicare Part D and are not in this data.
- Spending is gross, before manufacturer rebates.
- Obesity and diabetes rates cover all adults in a state, not only Medicaid enrollees.
- Q1 2026 data is excluded because several states had not finished reporting.
Updates
CMS releases State Drug Utilization Data quarterly. We refresh the index when a full new calendar year is available and note mid-year changes in coverage.
Frequently asked questions
What is the GLP-1 Treatment Gap Index?
It is a state ranking from Peptides.io that compares how common obesity and diabetes are among adults in each state with how many GLP-1 prescriptions that state's Medicaid program filled in 2025. A high score means high need and low Medicaid access. The index runs from 0 (Massachusetts, smallest gap) to 100 (Arkansas, widest gap).
Which state has the largest GLP-1 treatment gap?
Arkansas. It has the 6th-highest combined obesity and diabetes burden in the country, but its Medicaid program filled 59 GLP-1 prescriptions per 1,000 adult enrollees in 2025, the lowest rate of any state and about one-fifth of the national rate of 274.
How many GLP-1 prescriptions did Medicaid fill in 2025?
About 11.2 million across all 50 states and DC, up 34% from about 8.3 million in 2024, based on CMS State Drug Utilization Data. Gross spending before manufacturer rebates was about 12.0 billion USD.
Does Medicaid cover GLP-1 drugs for weight loss?
It depends on the state. Medicaid programs generally cover GLP-1s for type 2 diabetes. Coverage for obesity is optional: KFF counted 13 state programs covering GLP-1s for obesity under fee-for-service as of January 2026. California, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and South Carolina ended obesity coverage after October 2025.
Why does Medicaid GLP-1 access vary so much between states?
The biggest driver in the data is whether a state covers GLP-1s for weight management. States where Wegovy®, Zepbound® or Saxenda® made up at least 40% of GLP-1 fills filled about twice as many GLP-1 prescriptions per adult enrollee as states where they made up under 10%. Prior authorization rules, preferred drug lists and Medicaid expansion status also differ by state.
How often is this index updated?
CMS publishes State Drug Utilization Data quarterly. We update the index when a full calendar year of data is available and note coverage changes between updates.
Use this data
Journalists and researchers may use and republish these findings and charts with a link to this page.
Peptides.io Research (2026). GLP-1 Treatment Gap Index 2026. Analysis of CMS State Drug Utilization Data (CY2025), CDC BRFSS (2024-2025) and CMS Medicaid enrollment data. https://peptides.io/research/glp-1-treatment-gap-index
Sources
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. State Drug Utilization Data 2025 (updated July 2026) and 2024.
- Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. BRFSS Prevalence Data, 2024 and 2025.
- Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services. State Medicaid and CHIP Applications, Eligibility Determinations, and Enrollment Data, September 2026 release.
- KFF. Medicaid Coverage of and Spending on GLP-1s.
